Archive

Archive for the ‘Moral Hazard’ Category

The motivating madness of government fascism

January 5, 2010 Leave a comment

People don’t see crises coming because they believe in the rationality of government.  They don’t see the dynamic inherent in a coercive rent seeking entity that necessarily compels governments worldwide towards madness again and again and again.

WWI was madness.  The Great Depression was madness.  WWII was madness.  Hiroshima was madness.  The Cold War was madness.  Chernobyl was madness.  The deliberate death of the Aral Sea was madness.  The destruction of arable land worldwide to convert this precious fertile land into low-density residential development is complete madness.  Deliberate and govt-supported over-fishing worldwide is unsustainable madness.  The GFC was predictable madness.  The continued presence of the West in Afghanistan is madness.

Why do governments the world over act with such apparent suicidal, manic-depressive blind stupidity, such venal short-termism, such environmental destruction, such barbarity?

Because very simple incentive structures built up over time around the coercive activities of government compel it towards destructive barbaric madness.  Simple.

Those contractors supplying government make money out of what government does.  Government (originally) was developed to provide a limited range of essential services – law and order and defence.  Suppliers to government have a natural incentive to try to convince government to spend more, to make government bigger.  It’s an easy gig because governments can print to finance their own spending habits (unlike the private sector).

Governments then get bigger doing things they shouldn’t do.  And because there is no appeal process beyond government (all you can do is appeal to another agent of government), government has a natural tendency to get bigger because nothing can stop it short of complete anarchy.  So it keeps growing until chaos really does ensue.

This happens again and again throughout history and every time people are “shocked” by the chaos, by the suddenness of the social breakdown.  The Soviet Union, Iran, the US in the ’60s, Cambodia, the former Yugoslavia, Europe after WWI… all these regions experienced government-induced chaos, government supported madness.

The US will experience exactly the same social breakdown, the same insane bankruptcy, the same comic-tragic stupidity.  Why?  Because the dynamics of government compel the country towards this inevitable denouement.

Let me explain by providing a quote from Bill Bonner of Daily Reckoning:

Bethesda is one of America’s wealthiest suburbs. Money from all over the nation rolls this way. The playing field is tilted in Bethesda’s direction.

“I was sitting in the Starbucks, having a cup of coffee,” Elizabeth reported. “One man next to me was on the phone. He was talking about some deal he had done with the US Army in Afghanistan. It sounded as though he was very happy with it. The man next to me on the other side was on the phone too. He was a jollier fellow, talking loudly about how much money he had made. I thought he was a stockbroker or something like that. Then, I realized he was talking about a contract with the government.”

While the rest of the nation has suffered a setback over the last ten years…the Washington metropolitan area has boomed more than ever. Real estate prices are down…but less than other areas.

And when we looked for a house to rent, we expected to be able to name our price. We thought it would be a buyer’s market. Not so. Nice houses in Bethesda are still being sought after. How so?

Wars…bailouts…boondoggles – this area loves them. Federal employees’ earnings keep going up…and a higher portion of the US national income goes to Washington.

People make money out of the government’s fascist madness.  So the fascist madness increases.

Simple.

What’s hard to understand about rent-seeking?

Times top editorial cartoon of 2009

December 27, 2009 Leave a comment

Who am I to argue with the venerable Old Lady of old media?

Jim Willie (a.k.a. The Golden Jackass) nails it

December 15, 2009 Leave a comment

Fantastic blockbuster post, predicting multiple, cascading sovereign debt defaults, a run on US debt and a final run to gold and silver.

I agree with all of this analysis, as can be seen in previous posts on gold, silver, fiscal Armageddon and other entries.

This is the best current synopsis on what’s coming that I’ve seen to date.  The question is timing.  I cannot say this will happen in 2010.  But it will happen.

The only question is when.

A little bit of light relief

December 14, 2009 Leave a comment

Ya gotta laugh sometimes…

Categories: Moral Hazard

Banks looking to lend to any mid-east sucker with a pulse after Dubai bail-out

December 14, 2009 Leave a comment

I like my headline compared to Ft.com’s: “Risk appetite surges on Dubai bail-out.”

Who wouldn’t want to lend to Dubai now that Abu Dhabi has confirmed it will play market sucker?  This isn’t moral hazard – this is a licence to print money out of the oil wells of the Middle East.

The solution?  For Abu Dhabi to reign in Dubai’s excesses and slow down the debt-deals that are clearly killing the region.  Circuses have got to stop – sustainable farming has got to replace the mad casinos.

Low IQ borrowers meet sharp London bankers.  The mix is never good.

All fall down…

December 9, 2009 Leave a comment

From Jim Sinclair’s Mineset:

Ponzi-bankers “made off” with the gold

December 7, 2009 Leave a comment

It appears the rats left the sinking ship a little earlier than previously thought.

You’ve got to be quick to catch fleeing rats.  The vaults have already been emptied, and they appear to have stolen US bonds, art, jewellery, gold and luxury houses.

The prime choices for all the world’s embezzlers.